Calm-Armchair
0x7f43d43f34053b5eff5680757415f3301c3112a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
373 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
372 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStars vs. Blue Jackets$10.64Jan 26, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMPenguins vs. Flames$11.32Jan 26, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Blue Jackets$5.00Jan 22, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Wizards$3.00Jan 22, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 22, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 22, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 22, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMDucks vs. Avalanche$10.71Jan 22, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Jan 21, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 21, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flames$6.00Jan 21, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Avalanche$3.00Jan 21, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 10:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 13:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".