Optimal-Advancement
0x7f59bb91a432e1a11dc2b9f7ee15d4ff5fe47d29
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$59.27
Total PnL
$-157.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.92
$-0.07
- 90K
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 22.6¢·now 18.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
236 shares @ 12.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.85
$-23.15
- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
73 shares @ 41.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.02
$-25.98
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
57 shares @ 17.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.13
$-6.55
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?
21 shares @ 14.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Solana reach $130 in May?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
97 shares @ 10.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.23
$-7.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$7.94May 12, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.13May 12, 07:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 11, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in May?$2.14May 11, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$2.04May 11, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$6.25May 11, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$2.10May 10, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.04May 10, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$2.14May 10, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?$1.07May 10, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.00May 10, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?$1.07May 10, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.04May 10, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.04May 10, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$30.88May 10, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$10.31May 10, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $14.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".