Feisty-Fedora
0x7f64332f411f5a43fa87798c275c936c59748e46
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$19.01
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-900.20
Win rate
0%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- WORCESTERSHIRE
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorgan
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$2.15
$0.99
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.95
$0.35
- ALASTAIR GRAY
Nottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Alastair Gray
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$1.78
$0.75
- NO
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.60
$-0.01
- NO
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.55
$0.01
- YES
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- NO
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.01
- NO
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.33
$0.01
- NO
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.26
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Alastair Gray$1.05Jul 10, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorgan$1.18Jun 5, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-05-31?$1.61May 31, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres$149.16May 26, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants$1.23May 25, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLRuben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$1.63May 25, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?$1.87May 25, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 20?$1.32May 25, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?$1.85May 25, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$3.06May 25, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.64May 21, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.52May 21, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Kaichi Uchida$1.31May 21, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMGeneva Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jaume Munar$1.44May 21, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$1.51May 21, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMHamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchaga$1.52May 21, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1.74May 21, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$1.75May 21, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$1.82May 21, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.90May 21, 01:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.