Positive-Roommate
0x7f69d3671dc1ff03b40a6cd48a45399fdf209bf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
22/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-864.82
Realised
$-8.91
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2647 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-596.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 20?
794 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.97
- NO
Will Mamdani say "Wall Street" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?
189 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-19?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-02-19?
12 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
SK Sigma Olomouc vs. FC Lausanne-Sport: Both Teams to Score
11 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 18?
11 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- NO
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$596.65Mar 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$596.64Feb 28, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$402.93Feb 28, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Marty Supreme" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$5.05Feb 27, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ireland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.05Feb 27, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Frankenstein" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$5.07Feb 27, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hamnet" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$5.08Feb 27, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.14Feb 27, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 22 be less than 1,800,000?$5.15Feb 27, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$5.43Feb 27, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be less than 2,000,000?$5.21Feb 22, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burnley FC win on 2026-02-21?$5.32Feb 22, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?$5.40Feb 22, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?$10.20Feb 22, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 19 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?$11.36Feb 22, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$5.03Feb 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$5.15Feb 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMKawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5$5.31Feb 20, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMNikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 7.5$5.36Feb 20, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAl Okhdood SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score$5.00Feb 20, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $400.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 15:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.