Costly-Ease
0x7f6aede7b658921276b3891acee579ef17c0509e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
137
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?
6893 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
690 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-280.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
501 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-115.65
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?
500 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- YES
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
436 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.25
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
432 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
408 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-130.66
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
407 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-158.91
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?
305 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$118.21Jul 3, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$306.33Jul 3, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$2.49Jun 25, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$18.83Jun 25, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$18.09Jun 25, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$13.68Jun 24, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$12.61Jun 24, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-24?$1.75Jun 24, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-24?$23.99Jun 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$24.05Jun 24, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$47.45Jun 24, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$32.58Jun 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-06-23?$33.21Jun 23, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$91.26Jun 23, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$91.22Jun 23, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$59.91Jun 23, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?$21.49Jun 23, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$81.41Jun 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?$21.07Jun 22, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$34.79Jun 22, 23:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $66.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 04:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 23:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.