Chubby-Biopsy
0x7f8571744b734b7925655ff66674f380a583cf2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$17.83
Total PnL
$-54.77
Realised
$-2.34
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.84
$0.19
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?
101 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.06
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 30.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.71
$-0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.50
$-0.06
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 12.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.26
$0.54
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 12.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.96
$0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.81
$0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 22?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.72
$0.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.69
$-0.03
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 22?
6 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.48
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on June 22?$0.03Jun 20, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 22?$0.72Jun 20, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 22?$0.02Jun 20, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 22?$0.15Jun 20, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 22?$0.05Jun 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 22?$0.14Jun 20, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 22?$0.03Jun 20, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 22?$0.12Jun 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 22?$0.25Jun 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 22?$0.12Jun 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 22?$0.16Jun 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 22?$0.03Jun 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or below on June 22?$0.12Jun 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 22?$0.24Jun 20, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on June 22?$0.01Jun 20, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?$0.90Jun 20, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 22?$0.50Jun 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?$0.03Jun 20, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?$1.67Jun 20, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 22?$0.15Jun 20, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.