Honorable-Stair
0x7f974d7bede869972b015869fe1512a76275a349
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$279.40
Total PnL
$-578.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
178 shares @ 45.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$146.67
$66.67
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.58
$-14.42
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
202 shares @ 49.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.27
$-70.73
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
235 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$24.71
$-15.29
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
108 shares @ 11.1¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.30
$-2.70
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 44.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.79
$-11.21
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
94 shares @ 16.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.60
$-8.40
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
30 shares @ 33.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.13
$-6.87
- YES
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
102 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.36
$-9.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$51.48Jun 10, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$41.33Jun 10, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$23.00Jun 9, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$1.04May 9, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$62.17May 9, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$80.00May 6, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$311.87Apr 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$250.00Mar 27, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$50.00Mar 22, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?$233.48Mar 22, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$50.00Mar 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?$200.00Mar 20, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$144.53Mar 16, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$47.62Mar 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.00Feb 27, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$12.00Feb 26, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$10.00Feb 26, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?$0.00Feb 11, 17:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $54.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 15:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.