Vague-Harpooner
0x7f9756b6b36f9ee36439d0d9e7e31f61c9b2eaa2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$36.84
Win rate
88%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ET
179 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-51.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ET
171 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10AM ET
158 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ET
148 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9AM ET
146 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-47.21
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 1PM ET
138 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-42.18
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 12AM ET
135 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4AM ET
131 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12AM ET
123 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-21?
114 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-14.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$7.34Jun 28, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$8.39Jun 28, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$7.83Jun 27, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$8.69Jun 27, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$8.10Jun 26, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$8.39Jun 26, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$13.82Jun 23, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$10.22Jun 22, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$11.19Jun 21, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$26.11Jun 21, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$9.03Jun 18, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMPenguins vs. Islanders$17.02Jun 17, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$2.40Jun 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.41Jun 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$2.40Jun 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$2.40Jun 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$2.40Jun 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. England end in a draw?$2.41Jun 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?$2.41Jun 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$2.40Jun 17, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.