Failing-Local
0x7f99aceab569e8c331954faf8c55e97bec2d7c04
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$32.73
Total PnL
$-67.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
57 shares @ 28.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$4.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?
127 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.73
$-1.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?
91 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Germany vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$8.10Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.17Jun 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.14Jun 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$11.24Jun 30, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.20Jun 30, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?$14.37Jun 30, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.35Jun 30, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.17Jun 30, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$10.19Jun 30, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.18Jun 30, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jun 30, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.19Jun 30, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?$15.00Jun 30, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total Corners AND France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score AND Exact Score: Any Other Score? AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?$10.00Jun 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$16.35Jun 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.35Jun 30, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$6.34Jun 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.08Jun 30, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total Corners AND France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners AND France vs. Sweden: Team to Take First Corner$10.00Jun 30, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00Jun 30, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $9.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.