Flamboyant-Duration
0x7faa27fbdb26749f82baa0eeec9a1980d177c434
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-878.02
Realised
$-43.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kristin Cabot out as Astronomer CPO in July?
414 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
376 shares @ 75.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-284.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?
220 shares @ 76.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-169.39
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
113 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-53.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
67 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-45.49
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?
29 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-25.99
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
20 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$45.49Nov 20, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?$45.49Nov 20, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?$40.03Nov 12, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$40.03Nov 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$34.83Nov 8, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$34.77Nov 8, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$29.50Nov 1, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$29.56Nov 1, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$25.99Aug 7, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk say "Grok" 5 or more times during the August 6 AMA?$25.99Aug 7, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk say "Grok" 5 or more times during the August 6 AMA?$23.51Aug 6, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$21.25Aug 6, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$6.24Aug 6, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$8.50Aug 6, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$56.17Aug 4, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$55.64Aug 4, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$0.12Aug 2, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$41.00Jul 25, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$40.70Jul 25, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$254.00Jul 24, 23:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $107.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 09:20 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".