Vain-Try
0x7fb9a3f62e2196cc790952b0d3969a5be36f35d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$1.24
Total PnL
$-662.71
Realised
$-32.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?
112 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
630 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
254 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
229 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.00May 31, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.07May 31, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.77May 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?$2.10May 30, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?$2.25May 30, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?$3.00May 30, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$2.96May 30, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$19.38May 26, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00May 26, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3.17May 26, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$3.91May 26, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$7.03May 26, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$7.25May 26, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$13.85May 26, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$7.25May 26, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$41.03May 26, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$26.48May 26, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$30.94May 26, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$49.25May 26, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$31.25May 26, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 23:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".