0x7fbf50af7be054da3872f5162916f73e1bf23155
0x7fbf50af7be054da3872f5162916f73e1bf23155
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.0K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- RAVENS
Ravens vs. Chiefs
9242 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- CARDINALS
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
4741 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-746.00
- YES
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?
3633 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- CHIEFS
Chiefs vs. Jaguars
2194 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-868.00
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1707 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-695.87
- MAGIC
Hawks vs. Magic
1505 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-550.00
- DOLPHINS
Dolphins vs. Panthers
1295 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-163.56
- STEELERS
Steelers vs. Bengals
1262 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-428.00
- YANKEES
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
1043 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- CHARGERS
Commanders vs. Chargers
973 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-296.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$71.43May 31, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$40.53May 31, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLThunder vs. Spurs$22.16May 23, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$25.24May 23, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$623.42May 19, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$9.31May 19, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$28.28May 19, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$50.46May 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$639.84May 19, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.78May 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$997.21May 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Timberwolves$121.80Apr 26, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$99.94Apr 26, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$24.98Apr 26, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$464.81Apr 5, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$76.27Apr 5, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$49.97Apr 4, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$249.87Apr 4, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Seahawks (-8.5)$23.60Feb 9, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seahawks (-8.5)$49.00Feb 9, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $125.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 01:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.