Slimy-Eel
0x7fd342193b54e52983b519b1bde57d65a794aedd
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-743.49
Realised
$9.88
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1528 shares @ 81.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.3K
$91.00
- NO
Will Kai or Speed die to an enderman?
577 shares @ 50.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$574.32
$280.38
- NO
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?
374 shares @ 28.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$353.60
$248.83
- NO
Will Kai or Speed die to a blaze?
311 shares @ 53.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$303.45
$135.86
- NO
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?
300 shares @ 22.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$298.35
$232.35
- NO
Will Kai or Speed die to a wither skeleton?
258 shares @ 29.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$256.48
$181.09
- NO
Will Kai or Speed die to a hoglin?
177 shares @ 65.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$175.59
$58.93
- YES
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$113.00
$1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
1374 shares @ 21.1¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$65.25
$-223.99
- NO
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?
32 shares @ 45.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$31.30
$17.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12Aug 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$1.0KAug 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to an enderman?$30.55Aug 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?$47.77Aug 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?$20.80Aug 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to an enderman?$58.23Aug 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?$156.77Aug 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?$1.00Aug 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to an enderman?$19.07Aug 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to an enderman?$29.61Aug 12, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to an enderman?$39.66Aug 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$332.73Aug 12, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$293.16Aug 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?$14.64Aug 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to a blaze?$24.16Aug 12, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to an enderman?$14.12Aug 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to a blaze?$20.32Aug 12, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to a blaze?$30.71Aug 12, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?$108.54Aug 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to a blaze?$5.52Aug 12, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $62.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.