Cylindrical-Stem
0x7fd3fe6580b5b944e32701fdbba0c0ef4991e662
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$-70.3K
Realised
$-132.22
Win rate
44%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 34.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.5K
$1.5K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
7000 shares @ 22.6¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.2K
$584.85
- NO
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
5937 shares @ 18.7¢·now 23.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.4K
$254.94
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
10000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$175.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
5000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$55.00
$-445.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?
22000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-459.47
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?
19718 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-233.22
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?
19029 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-527.35
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20?
17709 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-162.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 27?
17081 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-226.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$25.31Jul 28, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$20.00Jul 28, 01:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.47Jul 27, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.30Jul 27, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.53Jul 27, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.11Jul 27, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.84Jul 27, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.49Jul 27, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.72Jul 27, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.61Jul 27, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.80Jul 27, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.77Jul 27, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.04Jul 27, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.13Jul 27, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.31Jul 27, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.85Jul 27, 03:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$11.72Jul 26, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$6.12Jul 26, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 01:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.