Thirsty-Tank
0x7fdc3af4bf62416b748ca152291f1057a9f54977
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$40.99
Total PnL
$17.68
Realised
$24.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
7 shares @ 91.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.65
$0.45
- NO
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.78
$0.38
- NO
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.72
$0.06
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.51
$0.01
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 98.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.08
$-0.02
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.48
$1.08
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 96.7¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.24
$-0.17
- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.