Frank-Honesty
0x7fdeb26f2be852209bc68e1e4ff3e6dd148d93cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$18.61
Total PnL
$-3.03
Realised
$-1.07
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Bank of England increases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$10.36
$0.01
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.65
$-0.00
- NO
Will Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.36
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
917 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$349.30Dec 9, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.20Dec 7, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 7, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$360.00Dec 7, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$358.28Dec 7, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$360.00Dec 7, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$364.27Dec 7, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$367.29Dec 7, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump issue 40 or more executive orders in June?$1.00Dec 7, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Argentina before July?$1.05Dec 7, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump issue 40 or more executive orders in June?$1.00Jun 19, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Jun 19, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Elon Musk as next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Jun 19, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?$1.00Jun 19, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Argentina before July?$1.00Jun 19, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Vucevic lead the NBA in Rebounds?$3.01Jun 19, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Apr 8, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's address to Congress?$2.01Apr 8, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ohio State win the Big Ten conference tournament?$2.02Apr 8, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Mickey 17' gross less than 16m on its opening weekend?$2.04Apr 8, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $71.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 05:17 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 03:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.