Tricky-Lollipop
0x7fe016da3fc3eeefdc0619541b0285180e6e0c19
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$5.57
Total PnL
$-56.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.57
$0.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 30?
6439 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on December 24?
6392 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-6.39
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 12?
3246 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-6.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 30?
2162 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 12?
2158 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on April 22?
2095 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?
2085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?
2082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 20?
2071 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$13.72Jul 25, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$13.69Jul 24, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$14.84Jul 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$14.78Jul 16, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$12.25Jul 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$12.21Jul 2, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$10.26Jun 30, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.18Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$3.25Jun 26, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.99Jun 26, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.16Jun 20, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$12.74Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$12.70Jun 13, 05:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.76Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.96Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$12.63Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$12.60May 30, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$13.04May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$13.00May 21, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 13?$5.43May 13, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $361.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.