Yearly-Repayment
0x7fe0334a6995f05043c7931cd5ef2cb7e197947c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-1.77
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- OVER
Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
34000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
14258 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
7050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
4185 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-58.27
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
3200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?
2585 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
2205 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
2061 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-21.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
2005 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
1633 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Central African Democratic Rally win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$0.21Apr 18, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Union for Central African Renewal win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$0.50Apr 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Movement for the Liberation of the Central African People win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$0.05Apr 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.25Mar 13, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the National Movement of Independents win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$0.10Mar 13, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fulham finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.00Mar 13, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.60Mar 13, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Everton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.01Mar 13, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$4.98Mar 10, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$3.05Mar 10, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.90Mar 10, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.24Mar 10, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.97Mar 10, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$4.94Mar 10, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.14Mar 10, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.15Mar 10, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.