Identical-Spy
0x7fe9757ceaff97f88f7e6b6f9e078abf343e71cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
188
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-639.18
Realised
$24.00
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 188- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14?
3038 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on May 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 15?
221 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 26?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 10?
70 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 13?
63 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
62 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 14?
38 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C or below on May 14?
38 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 16?$10.67Jun 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?$1.02Jun 16, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?$7.21Jun 16, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?$8.66Jun 16, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 16?$5.17Jun 16, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 16?$4.12Jun 16, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 16?$4.14Jun 16, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?$13.48Jun 16, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 16?$4.17Jun 15, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 16?$5.18Jun 15, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?$5.19Jun 15, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 15?$14.24Jun 15, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?$1.05Jun 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?$1.52Jun 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 15?$10.17Jun 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?$3.11Jun 15, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?$8.16Jun 15, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?$7.21Jun 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?$5.16Jun 15, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 16?$4.16Jun 15, 18:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 22:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.