Our-Scheduling
0x7feccda95bbc464956adc8ba33c8e0f19f0c4a8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-270.66
Realised
$5.58
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
1511 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-139.05
- YES
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $72m?
1021 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?
667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
632 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-7.74
- NO
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $80m?
332 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-13.96
- YES
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
232 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-18.08
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
200 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
173 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.10
- NO
Will Trump attend the US Open Finals?
162 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
143 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?$0.00Jan 11, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?$0.00Jan 11, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?$0.00Jan 11, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?$0.00Jan 11, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?$0.00Jan 11, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?$0.00Jan 11, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?$0.00Jan 11, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$0.76Nov 9, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.58Nov 9, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$2.00Nov 7, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$5.00Nov 7, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$2.00Nov 7, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$2.19Nov 7, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$4.83Nov 7, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$5.55Nov 7, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.10Oct 14, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition$11.17Oct 14, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?$2.00Oct 11, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.00Oct 11, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$0.92Oct 11, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.