Attentive-Roll
0x7ff1027781850f88259a7c2dd219a2ad461e7ae4
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-338.08
Realised
$-115.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
2400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
467 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
368 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
354 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$9.62Jul 21, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.18Jul 21, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.17Jul 21, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$79.15Jul 21, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.66Jul 19, 21:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.26Jul 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.28Jul 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$5.35Jul 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.02Jul 13, 11:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$0.00Jul 12, 10:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $18.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.