Cute-Organising
0x7ff5c583344a66d94c5f978949e3390df8f53489
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$174.75
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$62.23
Win rate
87%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- OVER
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5
41 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$39.16
$-0.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 22?
35 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$33.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 22?
35 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$33.93
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 22?
35 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$33.86
$-0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 22?
35 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$33.83
$-0.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C or higher on July 22?$15.07Jul 21, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on July 22?$10.00Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C or higher on July 22?$7.93Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 22?$23.01Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on July 22?$23.01Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 22?$23.01Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 110-111°F on July 22?$23.01Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 106°F or higher on July 22?$8.77Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 22?$23.01Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or higher on July 22?$23.01Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 96-97°F on July 22?$23.02Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 22?$23.03Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 22?$23.03Jul 21, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMDow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 21?$7.07Jul 21, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on July 21?$7.07Jul 21, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: KF Víkingur 3 - 3 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?$7.57Jul 21, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 0 - 3 Heart of Midlothian FC?$9.49Jul 21, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: IFK Göteborg 3 - 3 FCI Levadia?$10.00Jul 21, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Larne FC (-1.5)$10.00Jul 21, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$14.14Jul 21, 23:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
87% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $13.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.