Stiff-Center
0x7ff807f7e47c4c822f1b300ac4c9f5feb0e4d44e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$152.01
Total PnL
$-102.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of July 6 2026?
126 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$126.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.19
$-0.01
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
13 shares @ 77.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$12.69
$2.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 10?
835 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?
619 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
506 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 21?
505 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 13?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 27?
467 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of July 6 2026?$126.00Jul 10, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$9.91Jul 10, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$136.14Jul 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$136.01Jun 30, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$135.70Jun 30, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$135.00Jun 26, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 June 15-21?$135.13Jun 26, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 June 15-21?$135.01Jun 19, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.51Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 30?$11.76Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$112.34Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$112.00May 31, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$111.22May 31, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$111.02May 30, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.50May 30, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$123.36May 30, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$123.25May 29, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 30?$11.74May 29, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$134.13May 29, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$134.01May 28, 04:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $107.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.