Third-Psychologist
0x8013cd14221a45ba747de95262207189deea9b12
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$19.00
Total PnL
$-42.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
10 shares @ 84.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$1.56
- NO
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
9 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.00
$0.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28?
9211 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-27.63
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 27?
4100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2564 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.69
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
70 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 27?$1.2KMar 31, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 29?$1.3KMar 31, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 27?$3.1KMar 31, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?$5.4KMar 31, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 29?$1.3KMar 28, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?$1.7KMar 28, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?$3.7KMar 28, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 27?$52.06Mar 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 27?$3.1KMar 28, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 27?$1.69Mar 28, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 27?$4.98Mar 28, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28?$27.63Mar 28, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$6.03Mar 27, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.67Mar 27, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$9.00Mar 27, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?$11.00Mar 27, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$15.50Mar 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 27?$1.2KMar 27, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 27?$6.40Mar 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 27?$8.20Mar 27, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $416.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 03:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 02:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.