Warlike-Embryo
0x8014f23756d9aa2aee9c69a0c24067c71d246b8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.16
Total PnL
$-5.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.15
$0.00
- NO
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.14
$-0.00
- NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.02
$0.00
- NO
Will FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.78
$-0.29
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will Chile Grande y Unido gain the most seats in the Senate election?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 2?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?$1.14Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.07Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$1.02May 9, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMKaroline Leavitt out by March 31?$1.42Apr 30, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$1.47Apr 30, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.08Apr 30, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.07Apr 29, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?$1.06Apr 29, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaroline Leavitt out by March 31?$1.42Mar 29, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$1.42Dec 30, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMTroy vs. James Madison$1.09Dec 7, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET$1.08Dec 7, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTroy vs. James Madison$1.01Dec 5, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 2?$1.02Dec 2, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$4.52Nov 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.52Nov 26, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$4.53Nov 25, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$10.71Nov 25, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$15.24Nov 25, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$5.63Nov 25, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.