Wise-Mutation
0x801e0f74672ba970b196b01cddf616419fee00b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.93
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-170.44
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
190 shares @ 19.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.93
$-30.75
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1773 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-530.51
- YES
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?
1509 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-290.80
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
970 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
779 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-248.01
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?
640 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.56
- NO
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
51 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.41
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
40 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.20
- NO
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?
30 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$530.51Nov 25, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$154.76Nov 20, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$13.70Nov 20, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$10.69Nov 20, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$68.85Nov 20, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?$53.95Nov 20, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$81.04Nov 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$564.93Nov 20, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.61Nov 18, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$40.00Nov 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$20.00Nov 17, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.40Nov 15, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$12.43Nov 14, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$11.15Nov 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$39.39Nov 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$131.00Nov 13, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?$10.00Nov 11, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$14.86Nov 11, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?$100.00Nov 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?$100.00Nov 10, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $144.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 25, 15:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".