Favorite-Shoemaker
0x8032951a369ae318e93cbbabcf6f27e937dcd369
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-102.06
Win rate
30%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
548 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-16.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9PM ET
151 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-74.16
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?
124 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-68.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET
112 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-36.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6PM ET
100 shares @ 75.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-75.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2AM ET
100 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-67.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
90 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?
81 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-70.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4AM ET
56 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-33.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$18.41Mar 31, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$3.13Mar 31, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$18.29Mar 14, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$17.56Mar 14, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$8.33Feb 9, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$14.22Jan 24, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$13.51Jan 24, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".