Lighthearted-Warlock
0x8039ad26298d7847799899808554474b7fa57421
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-664.48
Win rate
0%
120 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5AM ET
1200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.21
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 5PM ET
635 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4PM ET
545 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
537 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-31.26
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
493 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
460 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
449 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1AM ET
401 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
401 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$0.16Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.18Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.25Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.30Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.31Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.32Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.36Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.42Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.43Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$0.44Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3AM ET$0.47Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.50Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.50Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.56Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.57Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.58Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.59Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 3AM ET$0.59Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.60Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.63Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 120 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
120 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $8.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 120 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.