Grandiose-Noodles
0x80424c1f16420a7c39242e3194d8fd85c7f159ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue an executive order on March 14?$5.00Mar 14, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.98Mar 14, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?$0.00Mar 14, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?$0.00Mar 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?$8.60Mar 14, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 13?$0.00Mar 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?$8.75Mar 13, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 13?$3.00Mar 13, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$3.50Mar 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?$1.00Mar 10, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?$16.25Mar 10, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?$4.14Mar 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?$2.57Mar 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1?$1.56Mar 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?$9.63Mar 2, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1?$2.00Mar 2, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?$2.50Mar 2, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$1.44Mar 2, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?$2.77Mar 2, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?$3.72Mar 2, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.