Considerate-Alder
0x8044544f140b2b1a2dd01e3b4b0cbc02cdd008b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-513.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will no leader be out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?
376 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-271.00
- CELTICS
Nuggets vs. Celtics
169 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-128.42
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Celtics$128.42Jan 7, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Hornets$0.00Jan 7, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Hornets$128.42Jan 7, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Hornets$92.46Dec 31, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $92.46Dec 31, 16:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 27, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $92.16Dec 26, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLChina coup attempt in 2025?$0.35Dec 26, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$0.04Dec 26, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$91.66Dec 26, 19:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 26, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 25, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 24, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 23, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 22, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 21, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 20, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 19, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 18, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 17, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $69.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 00:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.