Political-Odometer
0x80453906a4f9343896077bb100f376291159c1c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.7K
Realised
$-466.34
Win rate
0%
75 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
3410 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
3204 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-64.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
3057 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
2546 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
2487 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
2238 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
1787 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
1599 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
1520 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
1389 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$3.48Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$39.58Jul 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$5.35Jul 14, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$10.68Jul 14, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$33.38Jul 14, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$105.67Jul 14, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$19.29Jul 14, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$105.96Jul 14, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$105.60Jul 14, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$40.68Jul 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$35.33Jul 14, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$311.61Jul 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$35.22Jul 14, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$35.88Jul 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$25.65Jul 14, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$26.32Jul 14, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$9.19Jul 14, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$20.34Jul 14, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.22Jul 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.19Jul 14, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 75 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
75 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $161.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 75 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.