Waterlogged-Ranger
0x804b5e95ad2a949ff526981333afa1a15876b090
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$173.84
Total PnL
$-905.31
Realised
$-1.01
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 11?
37 shares @ 74.5¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$28.20
$0.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?
34 shares @ 70.1¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$25.84
$2.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 9?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$19.69
$5.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?
30 shares @ 66.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$18.86
$-0.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?
21 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$16.59
$1.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?
16 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$16.38
$4.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 11?
18 shares @ 71.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$11.89
$-0.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 11?
17 shares @ 70.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$10.85
$-1.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$9.48
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 10?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$7.28
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?$5.15Jul 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?$5.15Jul 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?$15.46Jul 9, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 11?$12.51Jul 9, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 11?$11.96Jul 9, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 11?$2.19Jul 9, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 11?$12.58Jul 9, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?$9.45Jul 9, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?$3.24Jul 9, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 11?$15.07Jul 9, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?$4.55Jul 8, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?$36.60Jul 8, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 10?$3.87Jul 8, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 10?$3.87Jul 8, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?$10.83Jul 8, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?$3.06Jul 8, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?$3.47Jul 8, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?$6.08Jul 8, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?$2.05Jul 8, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?$12.85Jul 8, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $8.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.