Complicated-Tray
0x80520d4914017684ed3958f8d8709b27b3788041
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$4.05
Total PnL
$-43.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 14.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
454 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$5.00May 19, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$0.89May 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$14.03May 10, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?$2.06May 5, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?$10.41May 4, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?$1.04May 4, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 3?$0.00May 4, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 3?$0.34May 4, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?$1.73May 3, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 3?$2.03May 3, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 3?$0.30May 3, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 3?$1.04May 2, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4?$1.04May 2, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 3?$1.05May 2, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 28?$1.00Apr 26, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 27?$5.00Apr 26, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$1.83Apr 22, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 19, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".