Unlucky-Latter
0x805229eb7635d1a6aa66fe08d2f0f3db21e7acfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.92
Total PnL
$-109.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.98
$0.00
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.95
$-0.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1PM ET
219 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-109.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.97Apr 15, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.95Apr 15, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.94Apr 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.97Apr 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.96Mar 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.97Mar 28, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Mar 28, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Mar 21, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.98Mar 19, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.88Mar 19, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.89Mar 7, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.98Mar 7, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 5, 1PM ET$109.72Mar 5, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6AM ET$0.00Nov 12, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6AM ET$10.00Nov 12, 08:10 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6AM ET$10.00Nov 10, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 7, 10PM ET$0.00Nov 10, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 7, 10PM ET$9.00Nov 10, 10:04 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - November 7, 10PM ET$9.00Nov 7, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $11.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.