Trusty-Guidance
0x8055ae09bfeeac2f46dffe254cc1868f2df444c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$68.2K
Total PnL
$31.89
Realised
$81.65
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
50964 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$50.8K
$90.97
- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
7000 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.0K
$11.50
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4986 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.0K
$2.49
- NO
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
3270 shares @ 92.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$104.45
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6971 shares @ 24.2¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-289.25
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
353 shares @ 94.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$345.41
$13.24
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
326 shares @ 91.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$310.19
$10.92
- NO
Joe Burrow traded to the Jets?
239 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$237.65
$5.93
- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
10 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.68
$-0.05
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$0.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$63.70Jul 28, 01:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$9.9KJul 27, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.0KJul 27, 21:14 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.9KJul 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$6.0KJul 27, 17:25 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.0KJul 27, 17:25 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.9KJul 27, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$0.16Jul 27, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$16.0KJul 27, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$5.0KJul 27, 01:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.01Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$1.1KJul 24, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$10.0KJul 24, 15:56 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11.0KJul 24, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$4.2KJul 24, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$10.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 19, 18:30 UTC → Jun 19, 18:25 UTC
- BUYWill Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 U.S. Open?$10.0K@100¢Jun 19, 18:25 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
9/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 U.S. Open?
$10.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.