Mad-Familiarity
0x806d3436a87e5484a0829b91b7df561b740bd6f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-215.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 4?
1009 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times August 1–August 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?
918 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3600 on August 4?
888 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times August 1–August 8?
787 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times August 1–August 8?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times August 1–August 8?
473 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?
435 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3600 on August 4?$45.00Aug 4, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 4?$20.00Aug 4, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$65.21Aug 4, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3600 on August 4?$35.00Aug 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 4?$35.00Aug 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$69.32Aug 4, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$20.00Aug 4, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?$20.31Aug 4, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?$40.00Aug 3, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?$11.07Aug 3, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?$11.37Aug 3, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?$17.50Aug 3, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$100.00Aug 3, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?$50.00Aug 2, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?$50.00Aug 2, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?$100.00Aug 2, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?$36.00Aug 2, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 120–134 times August 1–August 8?$10.00Aug 2, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 105–119 times August 1–August 8?$2.00Aug 2, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 90–104 times August 1–August 8?$1.00Aug 2, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $34.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 14:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".