Modest-Physics
0x806ff58fe005abea1b2db476c8a0414b9250bbbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$18.77
Total PnL
$4.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
5 shares @ 35.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$4.84
$3.14
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 43.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.81
$2.71
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 61.6¢·now 74.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.01
$0.51
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.13
$-1.98
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?$3.15Jun 9, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$2.80May 29, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.15May 21, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.75May 8, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.50Apr 23, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$1.75Apr 13, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 05:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.