0x8070414670983573965eb349816e5b2afe5f7397
0x8070414670983573965eb349816e5b2afe5f7397
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$333.94
Total PnL
$-115.79
Realised
$81.15
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
73 shares @ 18.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$72.77
$59.37
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
416 shares @ 24.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.32
$-39.52
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.19
$3.89
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
46 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$45.73
$23.78
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
40 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$40.00
$19.60
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
21 shares @ 85.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$16.20
$-1.80
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
83 shares @ 30.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.67
$-13.33
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
58 shares @ 26.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$8.64
$-6.34
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$5.29
$0.32
- NO
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 58% and 60%?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$2.42
$0.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 64% and 66%?$0.00Apr 10, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 60% and 62%?$0.00Apr 10, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be less than 55%?$0.00Apr 10, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?$0.00Apr 10, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 58% and 60%?$0.00Apr 10, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 62% and 64%?$0.00Apr 10, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?$0.00Apr 10, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 10, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 10, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Apr 10, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 64% and 66%?$0.00Apr 9, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 60% and 62%?$0.00Apr 9, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be less than 55%?$0.00Apr 9, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?$0.00Apr 9, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 58% and 60%?$0.00Apr 9, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 62% and 64%?$0.00Apr 9, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?$0.00Apr 9, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 9, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 9, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Apr 9, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 04:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".