Majestic-Certainty
0x80754b30c71aab0897c5a897403d00e5fdf878f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
692 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win North Carolina by 2%-3.0%?
256 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
217 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$18.00Oct 27, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win North Carolina by 2%-3.0%?$10.00Oct 27, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$10.00Oct 27, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Joe Rogan Experience?$0.00Oct 27, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Joe Rogan Experience?$0.00Oct 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$8.0KOct 26, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Joe Rogan Experience?$10.00Oct 26, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 04:42 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".