Incredible-Rationale
0x8088cea4e12ac70e3d27426055ee70856f4b7fc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-484.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 26?
1313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 1?
571 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
267 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 31?
244 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
220 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-99.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
198 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
180 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1?
131 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$20.50May 30, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$0.00Apr 2, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 2, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$29.00Apr 2, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?$8.74Mar 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?$10.00Mar 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$20.00Mar 21, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?$7.18Mar 3, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 6?$4.55Mar 2, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 3?$6.92Mar 2, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 5?$5.18Mar 2, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?$7.00Mar 2, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 3?$6.00Mar 2, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 6?$5.00Mar 2, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 5?$5.00Mar 2, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$11.58Feb 24, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$12.00Feb 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Feb 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$21.09Feb 23, 03:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".