0x808dad72408cbc7eeafb645af625b864030024a7
0x808dad72408cbc7eeafb645af625b864030024a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$40.81
Total PnL
$-45.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$40.81
$20.81
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
265 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-17.90
- YES
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
92 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
80 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.38
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$4.48Jan 12, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.59Jan 12, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.84Jan 12, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.47Jan 12, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chloe Zhao (Hamnet) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.01Jan 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chloe Zhao (Hamnet) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.04Jan 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$11.38Jan 11, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.74Jan 11, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.63Jan 11, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.07Jan 11, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$24.93Jan 11, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.36Jan 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.63Jan 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.38Jan 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.37Jan 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.44Jan 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.98Jan 11, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chloe Zhao (Hamnet) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.75Jan 11, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chloe Zhao (Hamnet) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?$5.37Jan 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chloe Zhao (Hamnet) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?$11.90Jan 11, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $12.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.