Excited-Convertible
0x809a08409e0d1f011c4ee17c7cb791bceb1520d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-854.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 10?
5200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on December 1?
2600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
565 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-457.65
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.70 and $2.80 on September 25?
300 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 23?
280 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,550 and $4,575 on September 18 at 12PM ET?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4300 on August 11 at 5PM ET?
188 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-135.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on August 17 at 5PM ET?
150 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-103.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$457.65Feb 24, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$458.00Jan 26, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$389.30Jan 16, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$389.00Jan 6, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$6.19Dec 29, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$70.72Dec 29, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$13.29Dec 29, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$46.07Dec 29, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$75.31Dec 29, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$115.18Dec 29, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$17.72Dec 29, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$454.00Dec 23, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$399.52Dec 17, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$399.99Dec 17, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 10?$5.20Dec 10, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$145.71Dec 10, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$124.88Dec 10, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$99.41Dec 10, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$485.00Dec 8, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$383.15Dec 5, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $115.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".