Arctic-Quilt
0x809a3c111050db81f121b835c42b8dbaaf32eb00
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$17.08
Total PnL
$-11.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Jan 15, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cameron Menzies win the PDC World Darts Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 26, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 26, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.01Dec 26, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFreddie Mac IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ruby Wax win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 10, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMOver $30M committed to the Makina public sale?$1.01Dec 10, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jimmy Carter rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.00Dec 8, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 6, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Dec 5, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ruby Wax win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 4, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Menzies win the PDC World Darts Championship?$1.00Dec 3, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $53.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".