Giving-Crystal
0x809a655e6655f6e4c34d14415b09441df0000732
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-706.65
Realised
$23.49
Win rate
77%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
189 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?
162 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
157 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
145 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
113 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$26.81Apr 8, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 8?$6.89Apr 8, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 8?$20.78Apr 8, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 8?$6.32Apr 8, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 8?$6.62Apr 8, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 8?$16.40Apr 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 8?$31.00Apr 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?$47.41Apr 8, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?$14.30Apr 7, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?$14.00Apr 7, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?$14.00Apr 7, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 7?$2.08Apr 7, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 7?$36.61Apr 7, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 7?$4.04Apr 7, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 7?$1.09Apr 6, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 7?$7.70Apr 6, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 7?$9.00Apr 6, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 7?$13.00Apr 6, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?$30.80Apr 6, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?$14.84Apr 5, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
31 closed markets, 77% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 17:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.