Embarrassed-Mower
0x809f4d1c71e80e878178b7b92d103cc12999ad08
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$14.16
Total PnL
$-25.01
Realised
$50.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
7 shares @ 68.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$7.28
$2.28
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
6 shares @ 32.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$6.15
$4.15
- YES
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.73
$-4.27
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump x Epstein files made public in June?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Oracle buy TikTok?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$3.00Aug 5, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?$5.00Aug 5, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?$2.00Jun 25, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?$0.85Jun 25, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?$0.60Jun 25, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?$15.00Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$10.00Jun 24, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.50Jun 23, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.00Jun 23, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.50Jun 22, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June? $5.00Jun 16, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$5.00Jun 16, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Epstein files made public in June?$5.00Jun 16, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.00Jun 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$5.00Jun 16, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rodgers retire?$0.00Jun 16, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?$0.00Jun 16, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$0.00Jun 16, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$0.00Jun 16, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?$0.00Jun 16, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".