Large-Confusion
0x80a1b5bf501ab7e45976416849b8430beecb68bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$67.28
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
2633 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-623.25
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-22?
1995 shares @ 93.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?
798 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-280.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6AM ET
567 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7AM ET
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
452 shares @ 88.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-398.92
- YES
Will Peru win on 2026-03-31?
348 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-278.20
- YES
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28?
300 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?
293 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Peru win on 2026-03-31?$278.20Mar 31, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iceland win on 2026-03-31?$156.86Mar 31, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia vs. Mali end in a draw?$69.93Mar 31, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hungary vs. Greece end in a draw?$322.56Mar 31, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia vs. Mali end in a draw?$54.05Mar 31, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hungary vs. Greece end in a draw?$300.00Mar 31, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-03-29?$326.09Mar 30, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-03-29?$300.00Mar 29, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Andorra win on 2026-03-29?$232.32Mar 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Andorra win on 2026-03-29?$200.00Mar 29, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Georgia win on 2026-03-29?$237.85Mar 29, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win on 2026-03-29?$200.00Mar 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?$274.73Mar 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?$55.00Mar 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iceland win on 2026-03-28?$210.00Mar 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win on 2026-03-28?$290.64Mar 28, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-03-28?$284.82Mar 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Faroe Islands win on 2026-03-28?$284.81Mar 28, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faroe Islands win on 2026-03-28?$275.89Mar 28, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?$275.86Mar 27, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $155.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".