Thorny-Programme
0x80afde93c23cc70b7c0184111ab33930be8f8f20
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$92.71
Win rate
87%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
406 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
321 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
244 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
236 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
230 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$29.96Jul 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$20.67Jul 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$10.35Jul 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$20.64Jul 16, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$10.46Jul 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.19Jul 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ET$2.13Jul 16, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.01Jul 16, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$7.17Jul 16, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$10.53Jul 16, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$15.60Jul 16, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$15.69Jul 16, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$20.10Jul 16, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$20.70Jul 16, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$4.48Jul 16, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$3.65Jul 16, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.35Jul 16, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.32Jul 16, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$10.86Jul 16, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$10.35Jul 16, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
79/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
87% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
38 closed markets, 87% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.