Itchy-Plover
0x80b3e913d0b3251584930cfadf563a249777b2f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-364.63
Realised
$-5.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
200 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.40
- NO
Will Opendoor reach $7.50 in January?
130 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-44.20
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of January?
120 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
- YES
Will Meta (META) close at $690-$700 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?
110 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $150-$152 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Opendoor reach $7.50 in February?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
70 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Tesla reach $495 in January?
70 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-21.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?
60 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$8.40Feb 18, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$5.20Feb 18, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$10.20Feb 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $350 in February?$16.00Feb 9, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor reach $7.50 in February?$7.50Feb 4, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir reach $180 in February?$2.10Feb 4, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir reach $180 in February?$12.90Feb 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir reach $186 in February?$10.80Feb 4, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$27.00Feb 3, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $365 in February?$4.47Feb 3, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $365 in February?$4.13Feb 3, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $365 in February?$12.90Feb 3, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor reach $7.50 in February?$7.50Feb 3, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $690-$700 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.56Feb 1, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $690-$700 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$0.18Feb 1, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $690-$700 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$4.41Jan 31, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $690-$700 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$2.25Jan 31, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $150-$152 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$6.16Jan 31, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$8.80Jan 31, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $150-$152 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$0.44Jan 31, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.