Direct-Aftermath
0x80c098b186302dd2ede146030d809b687a413fb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.04
Total PnL
$-4.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 29?
2 shares @ 19.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$2.03
$1.63
- YES
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG' have over 150k sales in its first week?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 87-88°F on July 1?
5 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 91-92°F on July 1?
5 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 89-90°F on July 1?
5 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 95°F or higher on July 1?
5 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on July 1?
5 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on August 29?
2 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 29?
2 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.40
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONTrump approval rating on August 29?$2.03Aug 28, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on August 29?$2.00Aug 28, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$1.00Aug 28, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG' have over 150k sales in its first week?$2.00Jul 19, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 93-94°F on July 1?$5.01Jul 19, 23:50 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in London on July 1?$5.01Jun 30, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 84°F or below on July 1?$5.00Jun 30, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 80 times May 30–June 6?$4.01Jun 30, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 80 times May 30–June 6?$4.00May 31, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$0.00May 31, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?$12.08May 31, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?$12.06Apr 8, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$2.97Apr 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$7.78Apr 8, 20:36 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed decision in May?$11.45Apr 5, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$11.00Apr 5, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?$3.01Apr 5, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$4.01Apr 5, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brighton win on 2025-03-08?$0.00Mar 9, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-03-08?$1.00Mar 8, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 03:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 28, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".