Anguished-Arrival
0x80c415b91a02f6923a252e4d513b7e6628fdbfbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$176.92
Total PnL
$-602.32
Realised
$-1.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
147 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$146.94
$8.16
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 23?
30 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$29.98
$0.38
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?
316 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-236.63
- UNDER
UD Almería vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5
304 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-79.04
- YES
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?
293 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.32
- SC FREIBURG
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
292 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-67.21
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on February 20?
292 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 5?
280 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-12.03
- YES
Will Matt Barton win the GA-14 special election?
270 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.56
- YES
Will Meta (META) finish week of February 16 above $710?
235 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on July 23?$29.61Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 29-July 5?$15.84Jul 6, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 4?$24.47Jul 6, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 2?$0.00Jul 4, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 2?$18.16Jul 4, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 4?$12.69Jul 4, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 4?$11.49Jul 4, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 29-July 5?$15.16Jul 1, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 22-28?$13.95Jun 29, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 2?$17.96Jun 28, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 22-28?$13.08Jun 27, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 20?$2.51Jun 20, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 20?$2.43Jun 18, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)$323.47Apr 21, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-23?$260.00Apr 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)$258.78Apr 3, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$215.51Apr 3, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-23?$0.00Apr 3, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5$38.10Mar 18, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-23?$226.20Mar 17, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $69.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.